1.
Large
print books will disappear. Kindle and other e-readers allow for the altering
of font styles, size, and background colors. Grandpa deserves to see and
e-readers seem logical for them.
2.
Literacy
will fall, as more people read only Web sites, emails, Tweets, and blog posts –
all of which lack depth, proper grammar, or strong editing. More people watch more videos and download
podcasts and audiobooks and consume information without reading.
3.
Sadly,
book sales may decline because so much information is online for free.
4.
Audiobook
sales, though soaring this past decade, may fall and give way to multimedia
books, those that combine some audio with video.
5.
Translation
programs and devices will allow American readers to now read books from
countries that previously did not translate their works. This will further
increase competition in the US for readers.
6.
The
publishing industry will begin to lose its gatekeepers. As it is, book
reviewers are being axed by print publications and their space in the newspaper
is reduced. Traditional publishers, along with literary agents, will fight for relevance. Bookstores
will continue to sell other items – some already sell music, movies, toys,
coffee, video games, etc.
7.
The
integrity and accuracy of information will become more questionable. As it is,
the sources cited by authors in their books are already corrupted by the
Internet. As more information is published, society may actually become dumber.
Who can keep up with all of the information and who has the time or ability to
verify what they read?
8.
More
books will continue to be published, but each one will average fewer sales than
books do today or what they did five and 10 years ago.
9.
Some new
system or gadget will come out that will further shakeup the landscape and the
pundits will again look to figure out how to monetize the new gizmo.
10.
Google,
Facebook and Amazon will be challenged by others. Everyone loves having
established leaders but no one wants a monopoly. Just look at Microsoft.
Competition breeds innovation, price controls, and makes for a fairer
marketplace.
So how
does any of this help you market your book now or in the near future? It
doesn’t. You can only sell in the market that exists but you should have an eye
on the future so that you can prepare for it and capitalize on it once the
opportunity appears.
The question is: How big will something become and how long it will be a factor? No one can bank on anything if some tech geek in a garage somewhere is about to launch the next big thing. Still, sell in the current environment with what you do know and with what is available to you. Tomorrow will settle itself soon enough.
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Brian Feinblum’s insightful views, provocative opinions, and interesting ideas expressed in this terrific blog are his alone and not that of his employer or anyone else. You can – and should -- follow him on Twitter @theprexpert and email him at brianfeinblum@gmail.com. He feels much more important when discussed in the third-person. This is copyrighted by BookMarketingBuzzBlog ©2019. Born and raised in Brooklyn, he now resides in Westchester. His writings are often featured in The Writer and IBPA’s Independent. This was named one of the best book marketing blogs by Book Baby http://blog.bookbaby.com/2013/09/the-best-book-marketing-blogs and recognized by Feedspot in 2018 as one of the top book marketing blogs. Also named by WinningWriters.com as a "best resource.” He recently hosted a panel on book publicity for Book Expo America.
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